Category: Elections

Written by John Berthelsen
Asia Sentinel
Monday, 25 February 2013

Malaysian Election Finally Nears

With the Lunar New Year out of the way and after months – years, in fact – of speculation, it appears that Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak will finally call national elections, probably for the second week in April, amid speculation that he may have let it go too long.

Under Malaysia’s parliamentary system, inherited from Britain’s 127-year rule, the prime minister can dissolve parliament any time he feels his chances are good of winning a majority. There has been speculation for two years over when an election would be called. But Najib put it off while he struggled to put his touted Economic Transformation Program (ETP) reforms in place and to let some of the myriad scandals around him cool off.

For the prime minister, there are dangers on several sides. The common wisdom is that he must not just preserve the Barisan Nasional’s parliamentary majority in the 222 seat Dewan Rakyat, but must pull more than the 76 parliamentary seats that the United Malays National Organization won under his luckless predecessor Abdullah Ahmad Badawi in the disastrous 2008 election. He must also preserve more than 125 total seats for the component parties of the Barisan.

If not, his detractors say, he is likely to be blindsided from the right of his own party by forces aligned with ultra-Malay nationalists determined to preserve ketuanan Melayu, or Malay ethnic and cultural dominance and sovereignty. Deputy Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin, a Malay nationalist, is commonly believed to be after Najib’s job although UMNO stalwarts deny it. The state political parties in Sabah and Sarawak, whose allegiance has always been slippery, are also said to be ready to opt for the opposition if the vote is close and the price is right. Continue reading “The long wait is nearly over. Did Najib delay too long?”

Saya menyeru pemimpin, ahli dan penyokong DAP dan Pakatan Rakyat tidak lalai dengan rasa puas hati mempercayai bahawa pilihan raya umum ke-13 telah ditundakan ke April, memandangkan Perdana Menteri, Datuk Seri Najib Razak boleh membubarkan Parlimen sepanjang 12 hari sebelum ulangtahun kelima pada “tsunami politik” 8 Mac pada 2008.

Pada 9 Januar, saya diberitahu satu “sumber yang dipercayai” bahawa Parlimen akan dibubarkan pada 22 Febuari, tarikh pencalonan dan pembuangan undi pula ditetapkan pada 16 Mac dan 30 Mac, selepas mesyuarat peringkat tertinggi strategis politik Najib di Putrajaya pada hari itu.

22 Febuari telah berlalu pergi tanpa sebarang pembubaran, dan walaupun tarikh lain bulan Febuari juga telah dispekulasikan sebagai tarikh berkemungkinan untuk pembubaran Parlimen, secara umumnya kini dipercayai bahawa terdapat penundaan lagi bagi PRU13 yang mana pembubaran pada pertengahan Mac dan tarikh pembuangan undi pada minggu kedua April.

Walaupun rancangan asal strategis politik Najib untuk pembubaran ialah pada 22 Febuari dan minggu terakhir Febuari telah hancur, disebabkan satu demi satu kesilapan politik daripada Perdana Menteri ketika Tahun Baru Cina – yang paling terkenal ialah pelbagai bencana politik dan perhubungan awam di dalam jemputan berjuta-juta ringgit bintang K-Pop Korea Psy dan Gangnam Style ke Pulau Pinang pada hari kedua Tahun Baru Cina – Najib msih boleh membubarkan Parlimen 12 hari lagi sebelum ulangtahun kelima tsunami politik 308 pada pilihan Raya umum 2008. Continue reading “Pengiraan Detik 46 Hari ke PRU13 – Seruan kepada Pakatan Rakyat supaya tidak lalai dengan rasa puas hati memandangkan Najib boleh membubarkan Parlimen dalam tempoh 12 hari sebelum ulangtahun kelima 308”

I call on all DAP and Pakatan Rakyat leaders, members and supporters not to lulled into complacency into believing that the 13th general elections have been pushed to April and after, as it is still on the cards that the Prime Minister, Datuk Seri Najib Razak could dissolve Parliament in the next 12 days before the fifth anniversary of the March 8 “political tsunami” in 2008.

On January 9, I was first informed by “reliable sources” that Parliament would be dissolved on February 22, with the nomination and polling dates fixed for March 16 and March 30 respectively, following a high-level meeting of Najib’s political strategists in Putrajaya that day.

February 22 has come and gone without any dissolution, and although other February dates had also been speculated as likely dates for Parliament’s dissolution, it is now generally believed that there has been a further 13GE delay to dissolution in the middle of March and polling in second week of April, so that outstation voters would not return home to vote so soon after the annual Qing Ming festival or All Souls’ Day in early April.

Although the initial plans by Najib’s political strategists for the dissolution of Parliament on February 22 and in the last week of February had been scuttled, because of one political blunder after another by the Prime Minister during the Chinese New Year – most infamously the multiple political and public relations disaster in the multi-million ringgit invitation to the Korean K-Pop superstar Psy and Gangnam Style to Penang on the second day of the CNY – it is still on the cards that Najib could dissolve Parliament in the next 12 days before the fifth anniversary of the 308 political tsunami of the 2008 general elections. Continue reading “46-Day Countdown to 13GE – Call on Pakatan Rakyat not to be lulled into complacency as it is still on the cards that Najib could dissolve Parliament in next 12 days before the fifth anniversary of 308”