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Why the BN Government Will Lose in the Next GE

Koon Yew Yin
18.9.2016

The latest hot news in town is whether Najib and BN are going for early elections, Various UMNO ministers have been calling on their constituency members to be prepared with some UMNO leaders claiming that this is the best time to take advantage of the wins in the two recent by elections in Perak and Selangor and the state elections in Sarawak.

On the other hand, PM Najib has not dropped any hints. But the Deputy PM has discounted early elections. According to Ahmad Zahid Hamidi, the claim that the general election could be held as early as next March was based on speculation. He also stated the conclusion was reached using the predictions of unnamed Umno leaders polled by the media outlet. “That is a prediction based on structured sampling which they did. But the reality is that we must keep our feet firmly planted on the ground and while the leaders in the government, BN and Umno don’t deny that the survey was done academically, but the reality is different”.

Whatever the truth is on this matter, I hope it is true that an early election will come about. In my previous posting, I had noted that we have had a lifetime of UMNO/Aliance and UMNO/BN rule in the country. Continue reading “Why the BN Government Will Lose in the Next GE”

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Election Commission’s constituency redelineation proposal the worst gerrymandering in all five redelineation exercises in nation’s history

The Election Commission’s constituency redelineation proposal is the worst gerrymandering in all five redelineation exercises in the nation’s history.

Under the proposed redelineation, the parliamentary quota in the Peninsular states – which is the average number of electors per parliamentary constituency in the peninsular states, derived from dividing the total electorate by the total number of parliamentary constituencies in all the peninsular states – is 68,814.

The parliamentary quota for each state in Peninsular Malaysia are as follows:

2016 Redelineation:-

State Registered Voters Parliamentary Constituencies Parliamentary Quota
Selangor 2,078,311 22 94,469
Johore 1,649,131 26 63,428
Perak 1,407,529 24 58,647
Kedah 1,044,444 15 69,626
FT (KL) 788,413 11 71,674
Penang 867,748 13 66,750
Kelantan 940,591 14 67,185
Pahang 740,023 14 52,859
Negri Sembilan 557,137 8 69,642
Terengganu 669,546 8 83,693
Malacca 456,645 6 76,107
Perlis 137,098 3 45,600
FT (Putrajaya) 17,627 1
Peninsular Malaysia 165 68,814

The Election Commission owes the Malaysian electorate a full explanation why the present exercise is even more unfair and undemocratic in disregarding the “one man, one vote, one value” principle than the previous four constituency redelineations.
Continue reading “Election Commission’s constituency redelineation proposal the worst gerrymandering in all five redelineation exercises in nation’s history”