Based on present redelineation, the Battle for Putrajaya in the 14GE will depend on the outcome in 80 marginal seats – 51 presently held by Barisan Nasional and 29 from Pakatan Rakyat.
Taking more than 55 per cent vote secured in the 13GE as a “safe” seat, BN has 82 safe seats while Pakatan Rakyat has 60 safe seats.
In the 13GE, Pakatan Rakyat won the popular vote but robbed of Putrajaya as Barisan Nasional is the federal government with the majority of seats – 89 for Pakatan Rakyat as against BN’s 133 seats.
If Pakatan Rakyat had won another 23 seats in the 13GE, PR would have the simple majority of 112 out of 222 seats.
In the 14GE, apart from retaining all our 89 parliamentary seats, Pakatan Rakyat should not just aim at winning 23 of the 51 BN marginal seats, but should aim to double this target to win over 46 out of the 51 BN marginal seats so that the Pakatan Rakyat can win a total of 135 out of 222 parliamentary seats with a parliamentary majority of 48 – with the seats evenly distributed among the three Pakatan Rakyat parties, i.e. PKR, PAS and DAP each having 45 parliamentary seats.
At present, DAP has 38, PKR 30 and PAS 21 MPs. This means DAP has to win another seven parliamentary seats, PKR another 15 and PAS another 24.
I do not think this is too tall an order, considering that PAS had won 27 parliamentary seats in 1999 general elections – when the Barisan Alternative was first formed – and PAS almost quadrupled its previous parliamentary score of seven MPs in the 1995 general elections.
PAS would not need to quadruple or increase four-fold its parliamentary numbers in the 14GE to increase from 21 parliamentary seats in the 13GE to 45 parliamentary seats in the 14GE.
The performance of the Pakatan Rakyat parties in the 2008 and 2013 GEs have shown that the three component parties have their basic strengths and if we are prepared to persevere in a common patriotic cause to save the country from corruption, cronyism, abuses of power and exploitation of the poor and the downtrodden regardless of race, religion or region, extremism and intolerance and put in place good governance, public integrity, accountability, respect for democracy and human rights, moderation and tolerance, we have no reason to be pessimistic about the future of the country or the outcome of the 14GE.
Last Thursday, the country’s former top diplomat Tan Sri Razali Ismail warned that Malaysia will lose its competitive economic edge if its politics continue to cater to racial and racial extremes, as his international friends have of late started to question the divisive goings-on in the country.
He cannot be more right and the rhetoric and politics of extremism and intolerance have never been so rancorous and polarising in the nation’s history than in the past six months after the 13GE despite the Prime Minister’s talk of national reconciliation and his promotion of the Global Movement of Moderates.
The battle for the 14GE has started and concerns have rightly been expressed that taxpayers money will be raided for the Umno/BN war chests to fund a cyberwar via the social media against the Pakatan Rakyat.
Even after the 13GE on May 5, the cyberwar against the Pakatan Rakyat parties have not abated. I was recently accused of being part of the “Illuminati”, the so-called secret global organisation of the most powerful and influential elite to exercise political and economic control of the world. After the allegation in the Umno cyberblogs, I have to search the Internet to learn about the so-called Illuminati conspiracy.
Recently, a Malay woman came up to me at a local airport when I waiting for my luggage, extending her apologies to me. I was taken by surprise and I asked her what it was all about. She said that for the first 18 years of her life, she hated me as a racist and an evil person as all that she had learnt about me was that I was anti-Malay and anti-Islam, but when she entered society and have access to information on the Internet, she found that what she had learnt about me were completely untrue.
This episode should be a source of inspiration for all of us, whether in DAP, PKR or PAS, who are targets of vicious lies and falsehoods seeking to divide and split the PR parties and leaders.
The information revolution will help Pakatan Rakyat to liberate minds which Umno/BN propagandists and cybertroopers are seeking to poison and imprison.
What is important is that Pakatan Rakyat parties must stay the political and electoral course until we succeed in bringing about political change for Malaysians, regardless of race, religion, region or class to achieve the common Malaysian Dream – a Malaysia for all Malaysians where there is democracy, good governance and socio-economic justice and where every Malaysian can achieve his or her fullest potential for the collective good and greatness of the nation.
(Speech at the Pakatan Rakyat fund-raising dinner at Empire Hotel Ballroom, Subang Jaya at 9.30 pm)
For that to come true, the work has to begin NOW!
Prove that PR can rise above the occasion and emerge stronger from the constant onslaughts from UMNO/BN.
Your problem is not with each other but failing to agree to disagree with each other. So whenever UMNO throws the cat amongst the pigeons, it is all too easy. The Hudud issue is but one.
Since all of you are sleeping on the same bed you might as well enjoy each other’s company.
PKR is notable for allowing know frogs into its fold.
Especially in East Malaysia.
To play safe, PR must cultivate its own candidates.
With known qualities of capability, integrity, honesty as well as being people centric.
Candidates who are imbued with such qualities will be much more resistant to the diamond carrots dangled by the scumbags.
PAS also must be made to understand that it must be as moderate as possible because in a multi religious and multi racial country, being less than truly moderate will not do.
And finally, train dedicated cadres to spread the word, especially in the rural areas, about the havoc the Devils have wreaked on the country and what PR can do to right the wrongs.
We may not have Typhoon Haiyan we have UMNO/BN to destroy this country as surely as any typhoon.
To win, the PR must pull out all the stops.
IT MUST BE A BLITZKRIEG!!!
WHO DARES, WINS!
Kit: Just a slight digression – what has become of the Sabah RCI ? There is real anger on the ground about the issuance of over a million ICs to Filipinos, Indons and Bangladeshis. Each time the police catches someone in the limelight – like the recent AmBank murder by an Indon security guard, and the robbery by a Filipino security guard, the police are quick to say that the ICs are fake. They are not fake, they were given as part of Project M or Project IC, and the Sabahans know it. Pakatan has to milk it for what it’s worth if it is to win GE14.
Needless to say, this article is just ‘Amgan2 Mat Jenin’…
‘Recently, a Malay woman came up to me at a local airport when I waiting for my luggage, extending her apologies to me. I was taken by surprise and I asked her what it was all about. She said that for the first 18 years of her life, she hated me as a racist and an evil person as all that she had learnt about me was that I was anti-Malay and anti-Islam, but when she entered society and have access to information on the Internet, she found that what she had learnt about me were completely untrue’.
Hahahahaha….How to authenticate this statement??????
LKS has blogs in Chinese and English to interact with his so called supporters….why there’s no blog in Bahasa Malaysia????? He will definitely know whether Malays love him or otherwise by having blog in BM…..
I felt that DAP has been extremely modest in their projection of seats. Worst still that signifies that DAP may be contesting less than 55 seats in the next GE. Perhaps, that’s the reasons why ethic melayu not given much opportunities in contesting as those seats have been hoarded by PKR & PAS. LKS & his team must vigoriously pursue.
The next battle would be Sarawak 2015. How many seats PKR gonna contest this time? Still more than 50 seats. It’s also time to build ethnic melayu leaders within DAP itself
Hahahahaha….How to authenticate this statement??????
LKS has blogs in Chinese and English to interact with his so called supporters….why there’s no blog in Bahasa Malaysia????? He will definitely know whether Malays love him or otherwise by having blog in BM….. cintanegara @ Tanjung Rambutan
How else you do explain LKS won in Gelang Patah,bangang !? It’s a clear cut case that majority Malays threw their support to LKS and reject your sateyman’s race and ketuanan bodoh dan agama penipuan propaganda already la.The truth arghhhhhhhh hurt,no ?hahahahahaha
Now go balik Tanjung Rambutan continue treatment.Doctor cari lu.Goooooooooooooooo
LKS’s blog is read by international leaders, who cannot understand Bahasa Malaysia.
So, cintanegara, will you take the trouble to translate into Bahasa for the sake of Malaysian Malays?
I think the Malay woman have been following LKS’s blog, and she could understand English.
How I wish she writes comments in this blog as well.
Wonder if she is supporting Pakatan Rakyat too.
Mr Lim,
Notwithstanding the upcoming re-drawing of electoral boundaries, may I suggest the following to the PR leadership group?
(1) I have no vested interest in PSM but the issue of PSM needs to be resolved.
Based on my personal observation, PSM can be a good addition to PR for the good work they have done in the field fighting for the rights of displaced estate workers, the vast majority of whom are Malaysians of Indian descent.
(2) Of the 51 BN seats which are vulnerable, PR should agree on who is the best party to contest. It should not matter whether it is PAS or PKR or DAP.
Solve that problem NOW and all partners should chip in and start “working the farm” for the common good.
If there is one thing I learnt from GE13, is that when PAS, PKR and DAP work together, PR is at it’s strongest.
I offer the example of the parliamentary seat of Sepang as evidence where BN was kicked out of Sepang after some 40plus years.
I may be naive but I believe that winning Sepang in GE13 would have had been impossible without the hard work and co-operation put in by PAS, PKR and DAP right across the whole electorate.
(3) Vote splitting in GE14 MUST stop!! There is no need for me to say this but PR is only giving away seats for free to BN when this happens.
BN will exploit the vote splitting potential again in GE14. I am sorry to say this but I am certain that PAS and PKR will be targeted again.
(4) Sabah and Sarawak. ‘Nuff said.
Yes Di,
Ask Azmin to lay his hands off the seminyih seat for PSM. PKR is the real problem or the weakling. Plus ask PKR not to be overwhelmingly greedy
After working for many years with a multinational company, I had learned that, at times, ‘honesty does not pay’.
Whilst Pakatan is more transparent, you tend to bring out your plans for the good of the people and country.
However, the ruling party continues to play by surprise, deny, cover up, playing ‘cat and mouse’ with the opposition.
So what! What can opposition do to them?
The courts are with them.The police are with them.The election commission is with them.
BN may have the money to buy votes, but running out of ideas, so PR should keep the ‘cards’ closer to the chest, especially the above subject, number of Seats.