I call the Election Commission to convene an all-party roundtable conference for all political parties to forswear the politics of fear and blackmail in the 13th General Elections and to accept any peaceful and democratic change of government, whether at the Federal or state level, if this is the verdict of the electorate.
This is most urgent and imperative for two reasons: firstly, the increasing incidents of the politics of fear, blackmail, gangsterism and violence in the run-up to the 13GE; secondly, the possibility that the 13GE will herald the first change of federal government in 56 years through the ballot box, namely the formation of a Pakatan Rakyat Federal Government in Putrajaya following the ousting of the Barisan Nasional Federal Government through the democratic process.
I have received information that the Bukit Aman and Defence Ministry intelligence do not rule out the defeat of Barisan Nasional in the 13GE. According to one Bukit Aman intelligence estimate, which I cannot verify whether it is from the police or not, the possible outcome of the 13GE for parliamentary elections is as follows:
State | PR | BN |
---|---|---|
Perlis | 1 | 2 |
Kedah | 13 | 2 |
Kelantan | 13 | 1 |
Terengganu | 4 | 4 |
Penang | 12 | 1 |
Perak | 18 | 6 |
Pahang | 5 | 9 |
Selangor | 20 | 2 |
Wilayah Per. | 10 | 1 |
Putrajaya | 0 | 1 |
Negri Sembilan | 6 | 2 |
Melaka | 2 | 4 |
Johor | 12 | 14 |
Labuan | 1 | 0 |
Sabah | 12 | 13 |
Sarawak | 16 | 15 |
Total | 145 | 77 |
According to this estimate, PR will win 145 parliamentary seats compared to 77 for Barisan Nasional – or a majority of 68 seats.
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