Will Datuk Seri Najib Razak call a snap general election at the end of next year or early 2010 to get a full mandate and legitimacy as the sixth Prime Minister and to put behind him all the many serious allegations now hounding and haunting him?
This is an option Najib will have to give serious consideration when he takes over as the sixth Prime Minister next March.
Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi dissolved Parliament in March 2004 four months after taking over the premiership while Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamad dissolved Parliament in March 1982 eight months after becoming the fourth Prime Minister, both scoring landslide victories in the “first flush” of a new Prime Minister with the 2004 general election victory the most unprecedented.
Will Najib take a leaf from Abdullah and Mahathir and plan for an early snap general election when he takes over as Prime Minister next March, whether end of next year or early 2010?
This is the first strategic decision Najib has to make as Prime Minister, whether to craft a national euphoria when he assumes the premiership and go for early polls whether end-2009 or early 2010 or complete the bulk of the 12th Parliamentary term to hold the 13th general election in 2011 or 2012.
Najib and his core advisers must now be weighing the pros and cons of having early snap polls.
The arguments for early snap polls are the same reasons why Abdullah and Mahathir chose the option – to take full advantage of the “honeymoon” goodwill as well as the political euphoria that could be generated by a new Prime Minister, which cannot be sustained if Najib completes the full term of the present Parliament.
Furthermore, a convincing victory in an early polls will have the great benefit of giving Najib the necessary legitimacy which he will lack when he becomes Prime Minister in March, as unlike the other five Prime Ministers, Najib will be starting his premiership hounded and haunted by many serious allegations of impropriety raising grave questions about his fitness for the high office.
There is however a great risk if Najib goes for an early poll option – that he may suffer a major electoral setback, a possibility no more unthinkable after the March 8 “political tsunami”.
The most famous political prophecy in Malaysia, the RAHMAN prophecy, is now making furious rounds in Malaysian political circles.
The RAHMAN prophecy on the first six Prime Ministers of Malaysia is about to be proven completely true – starting with Tunku Abdul RAHMAN, followed by Tun ABDUL Razak, Tun HUSSEIN Onn, Tun MAHATHIR Mohamad, Datuk Seri ABDULLAH Badawi and Datuk Seri NAJIB Razak.
The questions that ensue are:
- Is Najib the last in the line of UMNO Prime Ministers, with UMNO political hegemony and stranglehold on Federal power broken after Najib?
- Will Najib be the shortest-serving Prime Minister in Malaysia if he is defeated by Pakatan Rakyat in a snap general election whether end-2009 or early-2010?
Nobody can answer these questions until probably next year but until then, they will bulk larger and larger in the political dream and consciousness not only of Najib and UMNO leaders but all Malaysians.
Speech by DAP Parliamentary Leader and MP for Ipoh Timor Lim Kit Siang at the 2,000-People Gelang Patah DAP Parliamentary Liaison Committee dinner themed “Let Us Move Towards Two Party System Together” held at SJK © Gua Kuang I(2) Hall, Skudai, Johore on Friday, 21st November 2008 at 10 pm
A snap election is possible…ONLY..when UMNO feels confident.
Their position is even worst than the 12th election …right now.
The actions they took against freedom of speeches and to Hindraf walkers…are implanted into Malaysians minds..as a dictatorial government….which they are.
Not only that…race and religions are so clearly promoted…putting false hopes to his own very race..to be rich….without working hard.
It needs Mahathir to say all political parties are racialists…with his twisted one sided facts.
This devil started it all….EVERYTHING..for 22 years…and his big mouth..represents what UMNO is…in total denials of every evil deed they did.
They are never wrong…with so many hundreds of wrongs…exposed.
So..if this is not dictatorial rule.what is it.
And Mahathir was the first dictator. All others before him..were honourable politicians and leaders.
Have the situation changed..since he retired?
The starting of Najib’s move to FOOL Malaysians with few good news….such as..the RM7 billion for development..which hints..many 10% commissions given to small UMNO businessmen…are there for the takings.
The two times petrol reductions…only sensible Malaysians will not be taken by that..as much more should be given….right now.
Malaysians should be enjoying an all round goodness in life…no thanks to UMNO…but due to our blessed country’s wealth……still helping us.
Have UMNO any plans to strengthen our money against foreigners…to give factories better profits?
Not really..as most factories are owned by foreigners and other Malaysians.
Nay….I don’t think UMNO dare to call for a snap election…but a snap Emergency Rule is more in their minds..to keep on holding powers….not theirs anymore.
Uncle Kit, pada 14 Nov saya ada menulis tentang Tanda-tanda pilihanraya umum mengejut.
The only way Bn will have a snap general election at the end of next year or early 2010 is to incarcerate all opposition leaders under the ISA under Ops C4. Then only will it dare to contest the GE
prophercy? LoL…LoL…. then i believe the Matrix more
I think najib will be the shortest serving Prime Minister & most Un-qualified among all the prime minister of Malaysia. so whether when he decide for a snap election really doesn’t matter.basiacally, he is spoil kid.
Before he become the PM , He need to clear his name w/ regard to the murder of Altanuya S. the mongolian girl. If he is innocent , why he afraid to clear his name or file a civil law suit agianst those whistleblowers ? If he fail to clear his name How can he be a effective PM ? Even the international communitieswill not respect him. No nation will welcome him.
Are we proud of him to be our prime Minister ?
i m from Sarawak,.we voted foolishly and now anxiously waiting for the next ge.we r all committed now and shall let the old prophecy word RAHMAN happens and end here.
Letter “A” is the begining of the new keyword we r sure.work hard pkr!!!
do u think BN will hold a snap election? I dont think so if they are very smart…
for me…I voted for Lim GE…n I will do it again…
With all these monstrous scandals around, his alleged involvement in many other unresolved issues, the internal squabbles and problems in UMNO, the banned Hindraf nightmare, the judiciary’s independence in question, the police unwarranted actions and rough handling of peaceful gatherings, the religious quagmire and the politicking and power struggle in the BN component parties like the MCA and the MIC, I wonder Najib will want to call for a snap general election after assuming office of PM in June 2009.
The present prevailing situation does not augur well for the BN and particularly UMNO. Its popularity (or unpopularity at that) is at its lowest ebb. The country’s economy is facing an impending slowdown and downturn with low prices of petroleum, palm oil and other commodities resulting in retrenchment of workers. The general market does not instil investors’ confidence and investment. It all sums up to a bleak and gloomy picture in 2009.
I predict Najib will hold on and see to the remaining 2008-2013 term
as PM before he calls for the 13th GE due in early 2013.
The key point is the Malays if all Malays vote for BN and UMNO taking a new approach that all seats with Malays majority belong to UMNO no more the original formula of BN when they give even Malays majority area to their partners they still rule the country.
The only hope is when Pakatan have new approach dissolve DAP, PAS ,ADIL ,etc form a new party under Pakatan ( not loosely alliance) .
Najib should wait for the voice to have council of adviser to the President of UMNO to die before calling for the GE 13. Only God knows when the voice will die.
Do you know that during Reid Commission drafted the Independent Constitution?
The Independent Father Tunku and the Malay rulers had asked the Reid Commission to ensure that “in an independent Malaya all nationals should be accorded equal rights, privileges and opportunities and there must not be discrimination on grounds of race and creed,”
From above saying, the amendment Sedition Act illegal the question of Article 153, is against the ENSURE of the Indpendent Father Abdul Rahman and the Malay rulers stated above.
Keep your spirit high and uphold your spirit of equal rights the blessing of Tunku and Malay rulers who had asked the Reid Commission to ensure these at our INDEPENDENT CONSTITUTION.
As Independent Father Tunku Abdul Rahman. stated that “For those who love and feel they owe undivided loyalty to this country, we will welcome them as Malayans. They must truly be Malayans, and they will have the same rights and privileges as the Malays.”
Let OUR DREAM of equal rights be reality soon.
Let us be united and send the tiger wave to those who divided us MALAYSIAN.
LET OUR LAND HERE BE
“MALAYSIAN MALAYSIA”
a dream of our ancetors and our Independent Father. This dream will not be long waiting into reality if we standup as one.
Let us make this land MALAYSIA, a better place and peace for OUR FUTURE, FOR OUR CHILDREN AND FOR OUR NEXT GENERATION.
LET US ALL BE UNITED AS ONE MALAYSIAN.
YES, LET THERE BE
“MALAYSIAN MALAYSIA”
:::
Dear YB Lim,
Najib has no ball to call for a snap election that soon.
If he happen to be the PM, he will be the last PM of
Malaysia from UMNO / BN.
After 13th GE, Pakatan Rakyat will take over Malaysia.
YB Lim, you will be our minister.
http://kerajaanrakyat.com/
:::
UMNO can’t afford to call for snap election yet. Especially with the economy breaking down. They will need to ride out the economic storm and then claim credit for helping steer the country out of economic crisis.
mr lim
the notion of the rahman prophecy is faulty. names are meshed together even though the personalities were known as something else. the actual prophetic name for malaysia is RAHMAT. it is a blessings and if were research our true history, then it is the only available shower for us. our prime ministers were known by their common names. thus tunku was T, razak a R, hussein an H, mahathir a M and abdullah an A. thus all the alphabets are in place though not in sequence. the only letter missing is another A. it can be ali rustam, anifah aman or anwar ibrahinm; or someone else. the key is for the person to expand the RAHMAT bestowed on our belovede land. who it is?? thanks, regards and god bless
All Malaysians are looking forward for a snap election to change the entire state governments and federal government in the 13th GE. This is because the rakyat is fed up with the unfurnished political rivals in ruling parties , money politics, corruptions , abuse of power and the declining economy in Malaysia. The arrogant politicians still fighting over their defeats to PKR.
Dont DREAM – NO SNAP ELECTION ….because the rakyat is ever ready to choose a new PM like OBAMA and the end of RAHMAN rules in BOLEHLand. Syabas !!
The economic cards are all tumbling down – low oil prices, slowing world economy and possibly a long recession.
The way the government has handled the oil price reductions and tolls does not augur well for any meaningful economic improvements.
I don’t expect any GE soon but they will muddle along and possibly lose in the next round .
Snap election or martial law?
The Goment smell smoke, its burning alright.
They feel sea water too, now getting wet!!
Yes! They are sinking!!
Cannot wait for next election.
Anytime is a good time!
If its a ‘SNAP’ election then it shall be!
SNAP into pieces….. Whenever lah,
their faith is doomed!
Well,having read you guys coments and opinions,I would add that Najib will likely do not want to be the shortest lived PM and ended the RAHMAN prophecy in a political tsunami fashion.Most world enconomists emphasised that the world current resession will be stablised sometime 2nd half of 2009 and recovery will take another six months until 2010 to have the full effect.So I think Najib from now until early 2010 will play a very smart and careful card to avoid his worst ever UMNO/BN defeat in the history of UMNOBN in the country. In addition to economic full recovery,he ,I think will also ensure the breakup and disintegration of the PR partnership.At the time,he will consolitate his position in UMNO and do his best to win the hearts and minds of the malay voters by what ever it takes.In this case,I would suggest PR’s leaders and supportors to be careful not to be over confident and expect the 13th election tsunami in your favour to come.It may be the opposite,given TDM and other old guards are now behind Najib.
The key issue for a SNAP election is whether Najib can rule with a more racially divisive country. Going by recent polls, UMNO is gaining back some grounds among Malay heartlanders BUT a SNAP poll would be a nail in the coffin for Gerakan, MCA and MIC. Its hard to predict Sabah and Sarawak but its likely any lost there would be made up in Peninsular.
It is one way to go – divide and conquer, which is UMNO’s mantra. On the other hand, its hard to predict what dirt can be digged out going into the SNAP election. Any new ones involving Najib and his wife personally would be disastrous. In fact attacking Najib’s wife personally would be a good negative strategy.
Najib is a coward strategically, he has no vision and chutzpah for a risky strategy and hence my bet is he will not do a SNAP poll. Its likely to be all the talk is machining encouraged by him to give him options but when it comes down to it, he won’t lead courageously, he just don’t have it in him…
frankyapp writes: So I think Najib from now until early 2010 will play a very smart and careful card to avoid his worst ever UMNO/BN defeat in the history of UMNOBN in the country. In addition to economic full recovery, he ,I think will also ensure the breakup and disintegration of the PR partnership.At the time,he will consolidate his position in UMNO and do his best to win the hearts and minds of the Malay voters by what ever it takes.
To win the hearts and minds of the Malay votes by whatever it takes. I find it very disturbing the words ‘by whatever it takes’ because it would probably mean the UMNO party employing extremist propaganda. What about racial harmony which is very important if we want to attract foreign investments. You would do well to refer to modern Malaysian history. In the early 70s the then Premier Tun Abdul Razak, the father of YB Datuk Najib, agreed with then Penang CM Dr. Lim Chong Eu that Malaysia could only develop and progress in an environment of peace and racial harmony. The two men and other political party leaders than came to a consensus that the formation of National Front or BN was the best solution then to move the country forward.
Now, almost 35 years later, the political scenario is different. UMNO is now regarded by many as not the only political party that represents Malay interests. Younger Malaysian voters regardless of race want to see country progress and increasingly ‘fed up’ with the racial politics being preached by our many older and senior BN politicians who are still trapped in racial politics.
Opposition leader DSAI holds the admiration of many younger voters because he represents change and what most young Malaysians want to see the country as belonging to all Malaysians in the true sense of the word. Our politicians cannot determine how and where the country is heading but the voters can, especially those who were born after 1970.
There are many factors that work to the disadvantage of BN, chief among them is the widely-held view that the politicians are tainted with corruption. No, I don’t think YB Datuk Najib would call for a snap election soon after he takes office. It’s too treacherous for BN to do so.
Good news everyone. From now on, town councils will be accountable to residents!!!!!
Dear ctc537,
Rest assured only idiots will ever give “Rahman” notion a serious thinking. Among Muslim Malay community, nobody can deny that it is a mere coincidence that all PM of Malaysia have names start with Rahman notion.
As for early election, that is the right of a head of govt( meaning PM) to decide. And UMNO does not need to be racial in order to win election. THe record speaks for itself. It stood fast for decade in allowing MCA, MIC, Gerakan leaders to win in Malay areas; something that PAS has always find time to condemn as sinful in mosques.
As for racial politics, DAP treats its as its hallmark. It continously incite the Chinese that any alliance between UMNo and MCa, Gerakan , MIC is a symbol of weakness for the latter. It incites the Chinese to resent the dominance of UMNO. But it conveniently forget that UMNO’s dominance is due to simple logic; that it is the strongest among BN components. And why. Number talks. Malay forms the biggest community in Malaysia. As such they hold the most influence in politics. In short, UMNO earns its dominance. And its dominance is accepted and recognised by component parties.
There is nothing wrong about that. However, UMNO never bullies the non Malay communities. As such, there is no need to change your name like what heppened in Thailand and Indonesia. And i, in magnaminity, it allows a unique phenomenon in the world; that is allowing separate vernacular school and funding them too.
In magnaminity, it allows non Malay to win in Malay areas. Something that none of my colleaques in foreign country fail to understand.
As for DSAI, he is a laughing joke now. And if you care to accept the truth, you will find more than 90% of Malay people who vote for PKR regretted it .
Najib is a knave who knows his doom if he calls a snap election, unlike all the other guys who got their mandates during reasonably good times. It’s plain common sense.
It’s haram for Muslims to practice yoga!!
Yogaism strengthen your body…free your mind.
I think we are heading to Taliban type of Islamic government.
Where is the useless….good for nothing Dollah…..overseas and that’s when surprises or problems start creeping in.
No matter when they will held the next election, Pakatan Rakyat will WIN even bigger!!!
Hi Uncle Lim, now we got to key in 2 words before we are able to leave comments. Sometimes, those 2 words are so difficult to be seen, and I think that is why your comments here are getting lesser and lesser.
Time to review this “Recaptcha”. Make it to one word instead of 2 words.
To be honest, after breaking the promise of taking over the government, I trust less what Anwar said these days. It is now two months overdue. What Anwar said was something for sure going to happen, but it didn’t. At that time, we wondered how would than happen. Many of us lost hope and trust since then.
———
Anwar Confident Of Uniting Opposition Parties In Sabah, Sarawak
from Bernama.com
KOTA KINABALU, Nov 21 (Bernama) — Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR) advisor Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim is confident of uniting the main political parties in Sabah and Sarawak, which are in the opposition front, to field a single candidate against the Barisan Nasional (BN) in all constituencies in the next general election.
SEE HOW LOUSY OUR BOLEH UNIVERSITIES ARE. WE DON’T GET THE BEST PROFESSORS BUT THE ONES WHO WERE FIRED! I should say even the one who were fored are still better than those Profs Dato …..
Khaled: Get laid-off academics back
PASIR GUDANG: Local universities should take the opportunity to hire Malaysian academics retrenched by foreign universities.
Higher Education Minister Datuk Seri Khaled Nordin said many Malaysian academics currently serving in foreign universities were expecting to be retrenched due to the recession in several developed countries.
He said local universities could benefit from this by employing these academics.
Coming soon, a fatwa against the wearing of sarungs, for the simple reason that Arabs don’t wear sarungs
By the command of Malayan ancestors:
Malaysian should create a tsunami wave to those who divide the Malaysian into racial issue with 51 years equal right issue unsolved.
Overthrew them to the Strait of Malaca.
Let there be peace and united in the Land of Malaysia.
Yoga is haram for muslim,so are taiqi,qigong,lion dance,dragon dance,maybe also silat as all these execises are linked to body and mind,external and internal as well.Following this kind of thinking,perhaps non-muslim blood too is haram in the case of a muslim needing a blood transfusion say in an emergency.Why are we so pricky about all these things ? Surely health and survival are more important. It’s time we get our priority,right .
Najib won’t go for a quick by-election as he might think the by is a bye
If I remember his path correctly, most of his positions were given or pass on to him. He has yet to engaged in bitter struggle like Mahathir or Anwar to attain position of importance so perhaps he might be contended with what will be passed on to him for the time being.
If we look at the name of our first PM, Rahman is followed by Al-Haj, right?
So
Anwar Ibrahim
Lim Guan Eng
–
Harris Ibrahim
A (still in university)
J (still in secondary school)
…..?????…..
;-P
or izzit Putera Al-Haj?
>Dr Sheikh Muszaphar Shukor is alleged to have charged RM8,000 per hour for talks from 150 corporations since his return from the ISS in October last year.
how much did umno pay him for campaigning during the election?
in boleh, one gets corrupted very easily when having a name and/or power
G8 summit may be expanded into G21. Indonesia is in the list, but not Malaysia. WHY?
Dear All,
My take is that Najib will call a snap election early or mid 2010. Running top in his mind after taking over the front seat from Abdullah is to solidify and regalvanize UMNO’s internal and external strengths. UMNO has been quite badly injured, arising from what some may say, weak leadership under Abdullah to electoral wanting change in the government. Dr. Mahathir’s incessant critical views on Abdullah had also in a way helped chipping away some support from UMNO to Pakatan Rakyat(PR). However, one musr realized that the majority Malays were quite solid behind UMNO in the recently concluded general election. A big chunk of the Indians and some 55% Chinese abandoned Barisan Nasional(BN) for PR. At best, only 35% Malays crossed the opposition instead of BN and I would safely say that the figure is dropping by the days since after the election. UMNO has successfully painted a very bad picture of PR ruled governments to the Malays. Utusan Malaysia, RTM and TV3 had been airing news on how unjustified the Malays were treated by PR. And I think it is a fair assumption that given the absence of any effective counter reporting by PR, the Malays had been taken in by the news played up by UMNO. PR governments had been projected to be lack of experience in administrating, uncohesive among themselves and extremely unfair to the Malays as well as not prioritizing Islamization concepts. These are all but nothing nimble election campaign to dislodge PR from all 5 states won by them.
The frequent and wide publicizing on arrests of PR’s politicians and councillors had further darkened public’s views on PR. The rapid reduction of petrol prices will be extensively used by BN this time around, leaving them one less worry on which PR had effectively exploited this issue in the last election. Hindraf has been outlawed and MIC is rebranding itself to reach out to the Indians. The PR governments had been projected to be not doing enough for the Indians.
If one were to dig deeper into history, they will find out the trend of moving away from communal politics were amply demonstrated in the Singapore’s 1963 general election where none of the communal parties including UMNO were returned. I was told that 3 ardent UMNO areas in Singapore then were broken down and the supporters threw their support behind PAP. However, UMNO didn’t change then as they continued harping on racial issues till riot broke out in 1964 and they will never do despite losing a chunk of its power to PR in 2008.
PR has to pull up its socks if it were to think of defending the 5 states in the coming snap election(my take as it may not happen), let alone the federal government. Without the media on its side, the battle would be long, hard and ardous.
Shamshul anuar writes: However, UMNO never bullies the non Malay communities. As such, there is no need to change your name like what happened in Thailand and Indonesia. And i, in magnaminity, it allows a unique phenomenon in the world; that is allowing separate vernacular school and funding them too.
The basic rights of non-Malays are enshrined in the Federal Constitution. I haven’t thoroughly studied the Perlembagaan, but I know that non-Malays have the rights to education, including the rights to study their mother tongues. So, any government that governs this country has to preserve the rights of the minorities, am I right? Nowadays a government cannot change the names of its peoples because it is against the UN Charter and the violation of human rights. In the case of Thailand, it implemented its assimilation policy long before the UN came into existence. Indonesia also had its assimilation policy but under its constitution, Pancasila, all Indonesians enjoy equal rights, no special rights for any ethnic group. I remember reading in the newspaper years ago about Mahathir saying the Chinese and other minorities in this country are fortunate in that their rights are protected under the Constitution.
Correct me if I’m wrong.
Ask them the Malay to honor their their Independent Father Tunku and the Malay rulers statements follow:
The Independent Father Tunku and the Malay rulers had asked the Reid Commission to ensure that “in an independent Malaya all nationals should be accorded equal rights, privileges and opportunities and there must not be discrimination on grounds of race and creed,”
Ask them! because they do not even know the above statement stated by their Independent Father Tunku and the Malay rulers.
It is your rights to ask them to honor it.
It really doesn’t matter whether Najib called for election next year or in 3 years’ time. The ‘prophecy’ is coming to its end. The eyes should now be on Pakatan. Is Pakatan ready to hold the rein? You may say that anything is better than the current government, but should we be satisfied with ‘better’? Does DAP or even Pakatan got enough talents to run the country so that we could be competitive without losing ourselves in the process? What and who are we recruiting, the same old people who are in government now – hoping that they would jump over to Pakatan? – what is the point of that? Wont the loathed in-efficiency, bribery, indifference etc continue?
Der CTC537,
Thank God you got the point. So at least now you are aware that non Malay rights are respected in Malaysia. That no one is trying to take away non Malay rights.
So, some credit must be given to the govt of the day. In this case the government led by UMNO.
As for SMs, you got it right. However not complete assesment of what Reid Commision said. Persekutuan Tanah Melayu in 1957 is a land of many races. Reid Commision ( just like UMNo and Malay Rulers) recognised such fact. And the Malay Rulers agreed to one fact unheard in this world. They are willing to grant citizenship en bloc to non Malays to pave way to independence. Such generosity is a unique phenomenon even by today standard.
And the British also recognised one fact; that this country at its arrival leading to colonisation was originally a Malay country. Hence some unique clause such as Malay Royalty, position of National Language and Religion, Custom of Malay community.
Nowhere in the Commision about vernacular school. It however guarantees the right to speak in mother tongue and the practice of one’s faith. There is no compulsion here.
Vernacular school exists because Malays being generous people agree to it. I wonder Dap, being so concern about racial unity and hate anything about filling your “race” in official document , is so silent about this unique phenomenon by world standard.
UMNo never question non Malay rights. It never prevent Chinese or Indians from practising their customs so. And I or no sane Malay would do that. It is against Islam to force your way or belief onto others.
However, certainly Malays do not wish that their rights questioned under veiled “freedom of speech”. Certainly Malays are upset that they are accused of committing “etnic cleansing” when verybody knows that Hindraf lied. Certainly Muslims are angry that non Muslim NGO questioned their ban on destructive “penkid” element.
Certainly they are upset that BAR Council did not invite learnt Muslim scholars to speak onSocial Contract . And no sane Malay ever recognises Farish Noor as qualified to speak on their behalf.
It is an insult to predict that JAKIM will ban sarung. Islam recognises diversity. aptly mentioned in Kuran that “We made human of different races, tribes, color, attributes so that you can learn from each other….”.
As for Najib calling next election, that is not a concern now. He has more than 4 years to declare election.